Government Spending - Explained
What is Government Spending?
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What is Government Spending?
Government spending covers a range of services that the federal, state, and local governments provide.
What is a Budget Deficit and Surplus?
When the federal government spends more money than it receives in taxes in a given year, it runs a budget deficit. Conversely, when the government receives more money in taxes than it spends in a year, it runs a budget surplus.
What is a Balanced Budget?
If government spending and taxes are equal, it has a balanced budget.
The major federal spending categories: national defense, Social Security, health programs, and interest payments.
Each year, the government borrows funds from U.S. citizens and foreigners to cover its budget deficits. It does this by selling securities (Treasury bonds, notes, and bills)—in essence borrowing from the public and promising to repay with interest in the future.
The deficit is not the debt. The difference between the deficit and the debt lies in the time frame. The government deficit (or surplus) refers to what happens with the federal government budget each year. The government debt is accumulated over time. It is the sum of all past deficits and surpluses.
What is a Government Spending as a Share of GDP?
Federal debt is the sum of annual budget deficits and surpluses. Annual deficits do not always mean that the debt/GDP ratio is rising.
Government spending as a share of GDP declined steadily through the 1990s. The biggest single reason was that defense spending declined from 5.2% of GDP in 1990 to 3.0% in 2000, but interest payments by the federal government also fell by about 1.0% of GDP. However, federal tax collections increased substantially in the later 1990s, jumping from 18.1% of GDP in 1994 to 20.8% in 2000. Powerful economic growth in the late 1990s fueled the boom in taxes. Personal income taxes rise as income goes up; payroll taxes rise as jobs and payrolls go up; corporate income taxes rise as profits go up. At the same time, government spending on transfer payments such as unemployment benefits, foods stamps, and welfare declined with more people working.
This sharp increase in tax revenues and decrease in expenditures on transfer payments was largely unexpected even by experienced budget analysts, and so budget surpluses came as a surprise. However, in the early 2000s, many of these factors started running in reverse. Tax revenues sagged, due largely to the recession that started in March 2001, which reduced revenues. Congress enacted a series of tax cuts and President George W. Bush signed them into law, starting in 2001. In addition, government spending swelled due to increases in defense, healthcare, education, Social Security, and support programs for those who were hurt by the recession and the slow growth that followed. Deficits returned. When the severe recession hit in late 2007, spending climbed and tax collections fell to historically unusual levels, resulting in enormous deficits.
Longer-term U.S. budget forecasts, a decade or more into the future, predict enormous deficits. The higher deficits during the 2008-2009 recession have repercussions, and the demographics will be challenging. The primary reason is the “baby boom”—the exceptionally high birthrates that began in 1946, right after World War II, and lasted for about two decades. Starting in 2010, the front edge of the baby boom generation began to reach age 65, and in the next two decades, the proportion of Americans over the age of 65 will increase substantially. The current level of the payroll taxes that support Social Security and Medicare will fall well short of the projected expenses of these programs, as the following Clear It Up feature shows; thus, the forecast is for large budget deficits. A decision to collect more revenue to support these programs or to decrease benefit levels would alter this long-term forecast.
Related Topics
- What is Government Spending?
- Autonomous Spending
- Autonomous Consumption
- Fiscal Policy
- Expansionary Fiscal Policy
- Contractionary Fiscal Policy
- Progressive vs Regressive Tax
- Marginal Tax Rates
- Proportional Tax
- Trickle Down Theory
- Discretionary Fiscal Policy
- Automatic Stabilizers
- Effects of Discretionary Policy (Interest Rates & Lags)
- Crowding Out Effect
- National Debt
- Government Borrowing
- Golden Rule
- Ricardian Equivalence
- Balanced Budget - Deficit and Surplus
- National Debt
- Standardized Employment Budget
- Deficit Hawk
- Austerity
- Twin Deficits
- Fiscal Policy and the Aggregate Supply and Demand Curve
- Stabilization Policy
- Robin Hood Effect
- Ricardo Barro Effect
- Automatic Stabilizers
- Standardized Employment Budget
- How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates?
- Crowding Out
- Types of Lag in Fiscal Policy
- Temporary and Permanent Fiscal Policy
- Limitations of Fiscal Policy?
- How Politics Affects Discretionary Fiscal Policy
- Government Borrowing
- National Savings and Investment Identity
- Debtor Nation
- Fiscal Policy Affects Trade Balances
- Twin Deficits
- Exchange Rates Affect Budget and Trade Deficits
- What are the risks of chronic large deficits in the United States?
- How Fiscal Policy Can Affect Trade Imbalances
- Government Borrowing Affect Private Savings
- Ricardian Equivalence
- Fiscal Policy Affects Investment and Economic Growth
- Crowding Out of Physical Capital Investment?
- How Does Government Borrowing Affect Interest Rates in Financial Markets?
- Government Investment in Physical Capital
- Public Investment in Human Capital
- Fiscal Policy Can Affect Technology Development
- Economic Cycle or Business Cycle
- Business Cycle Indicator
- Peak and Trough
- Recession and Depression
- Hard Landing vs Soft Landing
- Economic Bubble
- Boom and Bust Cycle
- Great Depression
- Baby Boomer Age Wave Theory
- Skyscrapper Effect (Economics)
- V-Shaped Recovery
- W-Shaped Recovery
- U-Shaped Recovery
- Kondratieff Wave Cycle
- Contagion
- Feedback Rule Policy
- American Customer Satisfaction Index
- CNN Effect
- Bureau of Economic Analysis
- Business Starts Index
- American Recover and Reinvestment Act
- Abenomics
- Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008
- Commodity Credit Corporation
- Humphrey Hawkins Act